Univ. San Martín vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2014 |
ALI
3 - 3
SAM
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 1
MEL
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 4
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 3
UNI
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
HUA
3 - 2
SAM
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
UTC
0 - 2
VAL
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
VAL
5 - 0
HUA
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 1
VAL
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 1
MEL
52%
25%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
LOS
2 - 3
VAL
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |