Univ. San Martín vs UCV Moquegua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+725%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 1
SAM
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
AYA
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
BIN
3 - 0
SAM
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 2
SAM
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
MUN
24%
25%
52%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UCV Moquegua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
UCV
1 - 0
SFC
16%
23%
62%
|
12 | 58 | 46 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 0
UCV
72%
18%
10%
|
12 | 62 | 50 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
UCV
1 - 2
COM
16%
23%
60%
|
12 | 52 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
UCV
1 - 4
LOS
12%
19%
69%
|
12 | 52 | 40 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 0
UCV
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 56 | 44 | 0 |