Univ. San Martín vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 2
SAM
24%
27%
50%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SAM
4 - 0
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SBO
1 - 0
SAM
26%
26%
47%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SAM
2 - 2
MEL
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 2
ONC
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 1
CNI
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 1
SPC
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SPC
3 - 0
UNI
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
SPC
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 1
COB
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |