Univ. San Martín vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
SAM
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
COM
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
LOS
2 - 3
SAM
36%
28%
37%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
UCV
80%
14%
7%
|
53 | 13 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 1
SAM
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
MUN
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
SFC
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 0
LOS
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
UCV
1 - 0
SFC
16%
23%
62%
|
58 | 12 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 0
CAN
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |