Univ. San Martín vs San Simón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 0
SAM
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
AYA
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 1
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 0
SAM
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAM
43%
27%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
San Simón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
GAR
32%
29%
39%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 1
SAN
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
UNI
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
UTC
3 - 0
SAN
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
AYA
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |