Univ. San Martín vs Cusco FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 2
SAM
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
UNI
56%
25%
18%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SBO
0 - 1
SAM
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
COB
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 0
SAM
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
GAR
2 - 0
MEL
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
GAR
1 - 0
LEO
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
GAR
41%
29%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
GAR
1 - 1
SBO
69%
20%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
COB
1 - 1
GAR
29%
29%
42%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |