Univ. San Martín vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 0
SAM
31%
29%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 1
RIV
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SAM
3 - 1
BOL
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
HUA
1 - 1
SAM
43%
27%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
VAL
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 2
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 3
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 2
CCP
43%
25%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |