Univ. San Martín vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 0
GAR
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
AYA
2 - 4
SAM
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 3
UNI
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 1
SAM
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SAM
4 - 0
UTC
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 1
AYA
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
GAR
2 - 2
AUR
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
AUR
3 - 1
MEL
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
UTC
3 - 1
AUR
32%
28%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 1
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |