Univ. San Martín vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 1
SAM
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 2
HUA
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
SPC
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 0
SAM
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 0
SAM
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 0
GAR
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
STR
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 2
AUR
57%
26%
18%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
UNI
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
AUR
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |