Univ. San Martín vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 3
SAM
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
AUR
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 1
PIR
59%
21%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAM
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
COM
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
AYA
2 - 1
PIR
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
AYA
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
AYA
2 - 0
COM
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AUN
3 - 2
AYA
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
AYA
0 - 2
SRP
24%
25%
52%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |