Univ. San Martín vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2009 |
RIV
3 - 0
SAM
59%
21%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SPC
3 - 4
SAM
48%
24%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALI
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAM
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
HUA
1 - 0
AYA
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
AYA
2 - 0
VAL
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CNI
1 - 0
AYA
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
AYA
0 - 0
TOT
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 2
AYA
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |