Univ. San Martín vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALI
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
COM
3 - 1
SAM
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 3
GAR
36%
26%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MUN
3 - 1
SAM
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SPC
0 - 1
SAM
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
MEL
0 - 1
CAN
68%
19%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
UTC
3 - 0
MEL
28%
29%
44%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 0
COM
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 1
COM
75%
16%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
GAR
2 - 2
MEL
44%
26%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |