Univ. San Martín vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
SAM
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
AYA
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
GAR
3 - 0
SAM
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
LEO
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 1
MEL
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 1
UNI
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SBO
1 - 1
MEL
40%
26%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
GAR
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 1
MEL
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |