Univ. San Martín vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 0
SAM
31%
29%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 1
RIV
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SAM
3 - 1
BOL
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
HUA
1 - 1
SAM
43%
27%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 1
ALI
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
AYA
1 - 1
MEL
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 0
TOT
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 1
MEL
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 2
MEL
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |