Univ. San Martín vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 1
SAM
37%
27%
35%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2008 |
SAM
4 - 0
ATL
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
SAM
0 - 0
SBO
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 2
SAM
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2008 |
SAM
5 - 0
ALI
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 0
MEL
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 1
MEL
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
MEL
0 - 2
SPO
49%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
ALI
3 - 0
MEL
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 1
SBO
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |