Univ. San Martín vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 1
SAM
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 3
SPC
23%
23%
53%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SBO
3 - 2
SAM
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 1
SRP
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
BIN
2 - 0
SAM
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 0
CAN
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
UTC
1 - 0
MUN
39%
29%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
MUN
4 - 0
MEL
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
MUN
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
MUN
2 - 0
GAR
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |