Univ. San Martín vs Defensor La Bocana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAM
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
AUR
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 1
SAM
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 4
UTC
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 1
SAM
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 2
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
UTC
2 - 1
BOC
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
ALI
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 2
BOC
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
BOC
5 - 0
GAR
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |