Univ. San Martín vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 3
SAM
48%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
3 - 0
ALI
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 1
AYA
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
UTC
5 - 0
SAM
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 0
HUA
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
COM
3 - 1
AYA
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
UTC
2 - 2
COM
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
UNI
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HUA
1 - 1
COM
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 0
COM
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |