Univ. San Martín vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
SAM
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
HUA
3 - 0
SAM
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 2
ALI
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
SAM
4 - 2
BOC
38%
28%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAM
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2016 |
COM
3 - 1
VAL
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
ALI
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 1
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
GAR
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
COM
3 - 2
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |