Univ. San Martín vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 2
SAM
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 1
UTC
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 3
SAM
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
AGP
0 - 2
SAM
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
SAM
0 - 2
SPC
23%
23%
54%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
CIE
2 - 0
AUN
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
CIE
1 - 0
AGP
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 0
CIE
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
FCS
3 - 2
CIE
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
CIE
1 - 1
BIN
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |