Univ. San Martín vs Los Caimanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 0
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 1
CIE
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
HUA
2 - 4
SAM
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALI
37%
28%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
SAM
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Los Caimanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 1
GAR
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
AYA
2 - 1
LOS
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
LOS
2 - 4
UNI
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 0
LOS
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 0
UTC
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |