Univ. San Martín vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 1
SAM
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
MEL
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
SAM
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
AYA
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
GAR
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
ALI
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
GAL
0 - 2
ALI
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
SBO
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
COB
1 - 0
ALI
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |