Univ. San Martín vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
23.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
CIE
0 - 0
SAM
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
AUR
1 - 0
SAM
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
SAM
0 - 1
SPC
49%
28%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAM
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
SAM
1 - 1
UNI
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALI
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALI
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
SBO
2 - 1
ALI
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 0
ALI
45%
29%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
53%
25%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |