Universidad San Carlos vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
COA
0 - 1
UNI
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
ANT
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
HAL
0 - 0
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 2
DEP
50%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 0
UNI
53%
24%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 1
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MUN
3 - 0
COA
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MUN
4 - 2
ANT
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
HAL
0 - 1
MUN
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 1
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |