Universidad San Carlos vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VEN
1 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
IZT
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
COA
3 - 2
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
HER
52%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 2
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 2
HER
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
MUN
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
COM
0 - 0
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MUN
0 - 1
CON
47%
25%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
MUN
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |