Universidad San Carlos vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 1
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
LEO
38%
28%
33%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
MUN
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 0
UNI
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
UNI
67%
20%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
HER
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HAL
0 - 0
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 0
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
ESC
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
VEN
3 - 3
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |