Universidad San Carlos vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
UNI
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 2
UNI
15%
25%
60%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
ANT
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
UNI
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 2
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
LEO
4 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 0
DEP
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
VEN
3 - 1
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HAL
2 - 1
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
LEO
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |