Universidad San Carlos vs Halcones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 2
TOR
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
UNI
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 2
UNI
15%
25%
60%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
ANT
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
UNI
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
HAL
17%
25%
58%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
HAL
1 - 1
ANT
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
CHI
4 - 2
HAL
46%
25%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
HAL
2 - 2
COM
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
HER
6 - 1
HAL
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |