O&M FC vs Vega Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
4º
4º
21
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O&M FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 2
AFC
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
CFC
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SCR
0 - 3
UNI
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
MOC
46%
25%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 0
UNI
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 0
JAR
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 1
DEP
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 0
AFC
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
CFC
2 - 1
AVR
59%
23%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
DEP
4 - 1
AVR
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |