Tercera Playoffs Galicia Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Universidad Oviedo vs At. Granadilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CAG
1 - 0
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
MAL
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
MAL
2 - 2
UNI
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
CEA
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CUD
0 - 2
UNI
27%
25%
49%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
At. Granadilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CAG
1 - 0
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CAG
3 - 0
SEG
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +3 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SEG
1 - 0
CAG
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CAG
1 - 3
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
UDG
0 - 2
CAG
15%
22%
63%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |