Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-6
Universidad LPGC vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
68.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad LPGC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CPC
1 - 2
ULP
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ULP
2 - 0
CER
65%
22%
13%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
DEP
1 - 1
ULP
27%
28%
46%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ULP
4 - 2
PON
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
EXT
3 - 0
ULP
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 0
ATM
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
ATM
3 - 0
RBK
60%
22%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 0
GET
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SEV
3 - 1
ATM
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 1
LEV
48%
23%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |