Leones Negros vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CAF
2 - 0
UDG
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
UDG
1 - 0
MUR
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CIM
2 - 2
UDG
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
UDG
3 - 0
ATL
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
TAM
4 - 2
UDG
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
LEO
26%
24%
50%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 0
DOR
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
PAC
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ZAC
4 - 1
CAÑ
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 1
CAÑ
23%
23%
53%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |