Leones Negros vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LAP
1 - 2
UDG
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
UDG
1 - 0
TOR
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DOR
0 - 0
UDG
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
UDG
1 - 0
UAT
33%
29%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 2
UDG
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
EST
2 - 1
VER
55%
23%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
VER
0 - 1
QRO
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ALT
3 - 0
VER
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
QRO
1 - 1
VER
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
VER
2 - 2
LOB
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |