Leones Negros vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
IRA
3 - 1
UDG
51%
25%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
UDG
0 - 4
TIG
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
TAM
1 - 0
UDG
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
UDG
1 - 2
CAZ
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
IND
5 - 1
UDG
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
TIJ
1 - 1
REB
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
TIJ
0 - 0
MER
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
MER
1 - 0
TIJ
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TIJ
2 - 0
REB
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
REB
1 - 2
TIJ
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |