Leones Negros vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UDG
2 - 1
REB
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
UDG
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
REB
4 - 0
UDG
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UDG
0 - 2
DOR
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
UDG
1 - 1
ATL
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UDG
2 - 1
REB
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
REB
4 - 0
UDG
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAF
2 - 3
REB
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
PAC
1 - 1
REB
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
REB
1 - 0
LOB
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |