Leones Negros vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
53.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UDG
0 - 0
EST
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
UDG
0 - 2
TOR
35%
30%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 1
UDG
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
IRA
0 - 1
UDG
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
UDG
0 - 0
EST
30%
28%
43%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
PUE
1 - 1
PUM
42%
28%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
AME
2 - 1
PUM
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
PUM
0 - 1
AME
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
PUM
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PUM
3 - 0
JAG
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |