Leones Negros vs Pumas Morelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
UDG
0 - 1
LOB
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 2
UDG
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
UDG
3 - 1
GUE
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
VER
3 - 1
UDG
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
TIJ
4 - 2
UDG
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 0
IRA
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
NEC
2 - 1
PUM
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
PUM
0 - 1
DOR
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
3 - 4
PUM
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 0
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |