Leones Negros vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 1
UDG
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 0
UDG
67%
21%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
UDG
1 - 1
NEC
24%
29%
47%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
UDG
0 - 0
VER
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
LAP
1 - 2
UDG
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
PAC
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
AME
0 - 1
PAC
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
PAC
1 - 3
AME
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PAC
3 - 1
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
PAC
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |