Leones Negros vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
59.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
DOR
2 - 0
UDG
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
UDG
0 - 1
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 0
UDG
56%
24%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
UDG
2 - 2
MER
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 1
UDG
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
NEC
3 - 1
IRA
64%
21%
14%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
TIJ
3 - 0
NEC
24%
27%
49%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
DOR
3 - 1
NEC
24%
27%
49%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
NEC
5 - 1
ATL
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 0
NEC
19%
26%
55%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |