Leones Negros vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 1
UDG
33%
29%
39%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAÑ
2 - 1
UDG
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
UDG
3 - 1
CAF
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
DOR
3 - 0
UDG
46%
25%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TEP
0 - 0
UDG
46%
29%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 0
CIM
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
JUA
2 - 1
MUR
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
ATS
2 - 0
MUR
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 2
TOR
25%
24%
52%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 2
ATS
12%
18%
70%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |