Ascenso MX Finals Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Leones Negros vs Mineros de Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
ZAC
1 - 1
UDG
50%
24%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
JUA
3 - 0
UDG
45%
30%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UDG
2 - 0
MER
50%
28%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 0
UDG
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
UDG
0 - 0
NEC
42%
28%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
ZAC
1 - 1
UDG
50%
24%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAF
1 - 1
ZAC
41%
23%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
ZAC
2 - 1
CAF
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 2
ZAC
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ZAC
2 - 0
NEC
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |