Leones Negros vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
50.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
DOR
2 - 2
UDG
67%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
UDG
1 - 0
LEO
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
ALT
2 - 0
UDG
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
UDG
2 - 2
GUE
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
UDG
1 - 3
VER
25%
26%
48%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MER
0 - 0
TIJ
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
IND
3 - 2
MER
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
MER
0 - 2
REB
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 1
MER
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
MER
1 - 0
IRA
48%
26%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |