Leones Negros vs FC Juárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UDG
3 - 0
TOR
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
UDG
53%
25%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAF
1 - 0
UDG
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UDG
3 - 1
TEP
48%
29%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
UDG
0 - 1
CHI
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 1
AUR
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 1
JUA
46%
23%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
JUA
19%
26%
56%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MER
5 - 1
JUA
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
JUA
2 - 0
DOR
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |