Leones Negros vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
MER
0 - 2
UDG
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
UDG
2 - 2
DOR
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LEO
2 - 0
UDG
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
UDG
1 - 1
ALT
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
UDG
1 - 1
TIJ
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
DUR
0 - 2
TIJ
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
IND
1 - 2
DUR
62%
24%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
DUR
0 - 1
REB
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 1
DUR
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
DUR
2 - 3
IRA
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |