Leones Negros vs Dorados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
10º
2º
12
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
UDG
0 - 0
MOR
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
CAP
3 - 0
UDG
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
UDG
4 - 1
MER
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
TEM
0 - 0
UDG
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
UDG
5 - 0
ALE
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 2
TEM
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 0
DOR
66%
23%
11%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
MOR
4 - 0
DOR
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
4 - 0
ZAC
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
CFC
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |