Leones Negros vs Deportivo Tepic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
23.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
UDG
0 - 1
CHI
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
UAT
0 - 2
UDG
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
UDG
2 - 1
DOR
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
UDG
2 - 0
CAÑ
56%
26%
18%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 2
UDG
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
TIJ
3 - 2
TEP
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TEP
2 - 3
CIM
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
TEP
0 - 0
ATS
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
TEP
35%
28%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 2
TEP
56%
23%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |