Leones Negros vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VER
2 - 3
UDG
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
UDG
1 - 2
REB
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UDG
2 - 1
REB
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
UDG
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
REB
4 - 0
UDG
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAF
0 - 1
CAZ
57%
24%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 3
LOB
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
EST
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
CAZ
60%
22%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 3
REB
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |