Leones Negros vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.6%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
9.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
UDG
2 - 0
MUR
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 1
UDG
33%
29%
39%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAÑ
2 - 1
UDG
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
UDG
3 - 1
CAF
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
DOR
3 - 0
UDG
46%
25%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CIM
1 - 1
DUR
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 1
CIM
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 0
CIM
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CIM
1 - 3
MZA
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SOL
0 - 1
CIM
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |