Leones Negros vs Indios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
57.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
REB
4 - 0
UDG
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
UDG
1 - 1
ATL
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
IRA
3 - 4
UDG
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
UDG
1 - 1
PUM
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CAZ
3 - 1
UDG
58%
25%
18%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
IND
1 - 0
TIJ
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
VER
3 - 4
IND
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
REB
2 - 2
IND
22%
26%
52%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
IND
3 - 2
ATL
68%
22%
11%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
IRA
0 - 2
IND
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |