Leones Negros vs CD Tapatío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
5º
1º
17
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 30 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
|
2º
|
17 | 27 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 25 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 23 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 20 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 19 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 17 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 16 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 15 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 15 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 13 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 13 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 13 |
15º
|
22% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
99.5% | 98% |
|
Final Series
|
0.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
UDG
1 - 2
ATL
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 0
UDG
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
UDG
3 - 1
CAP
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 1
UDG
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
UDG
3 - 0
ZAC
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Tapatío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
ATL
5 - 1
CDT
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
CDT
0 - 3
ATL
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 0
TOR
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
4 - 3
CDT
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 2
CDT
55%
24%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |